East Carolina vs Southern Miss 10/9/2010

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Southern Miss is a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat East Carolina. Desmond Johnson is projected for 67 rushing yards and a 40% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where East Carolina wins, Dominique Davis averages 1.93 TD passes vs 0.74 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.02 TDs to 1.03 interceptions. Jonathan Williams averages 78 rushing yards and 1.04 rushing TDs when East Carolina wins and 67 yards and 0.54 TDs in losses. Southern Miss has a 45% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 72% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS -9.5

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